EDUCATED BETS
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries — model receipt, October 4, 2026
The Golden State Valkyries beat the Las Vegas Aces 71–60 at home. Our model's logged calls for this game finished 1–2, with all three graded automatically after being logged before tip-off. That record reflects one correct call against two that missed.
Final: Las Vegas Aces 60 — Golden State Valkyries 71
Every one of these calls was logged before tip-off and graded automatically when the game ended — the full record, wins and losses, stays public.
Model record on this game: 1-2
Player props (top 3 by model confidence)
- ✗ LOSS Gabby Williams Under 4.5 Rebounds (-145)
- ✗ LOSS Kayla Thornton Under 5.5 Rebounds (-159)
- ✓ WIN A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 Rebounds (+102)
More: Las Vegas Aces predictions · Golden State Valkyries predictions · today's WNBA board
Predictions by league: NBA predictions · NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
How did the Educated Bets model do on Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries?
Our AI model went 1-2 on this WNBA game. Every pick was logged before tip-off on October 4, 2026 and graded automatically against the box score — wins and losses both stay public.
Are Educated Bets picks free?
Yes. You can see the full model board free with an account — no card required. Every call is logged before tip-off and graded in public.
How does the model make its predictions?
It prices each game and player prop against the market using recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace and park, then calibrates to the real historical hit rate for that league.
How the model works
Educated Bets prices every game and player prop with a statistical model — recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace, park and rest — then calibrates each probability to the league's real historical hit rate. Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded automatically against the final box score, so wins and losses both stay on the public record.
Public track record: across 6,166 graded picks the model's win rate is 62.4%. That figure counts every graded pick, wins and losses, with no survivorship filtering — including calls the model later revised.
Model analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice. 21+ (18+ where lawful). If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Unlock the full model board — freeNo card required. Every pick logged before tip-off and graded in public.