EDUCATED BETS

Public track record: 62.4% across 6,166 graded picks

3,845 wins, 2,321 losses. This is every pick the model has published and had graded — including picks it later revised. Nothing is deleted, and losses stay on the record.

Record by league

LeagueW–LWin %
MLB2,942–1,64664.1%
WNBA336–24058.3%
NHL297–19560.4%
NBA147–14450.5%
NCAAF36–3352.2%
NBA Summer League20–1655.6%
NFL13–1644.8%
FIFA World Cup10–471.4%
Serie A10–283.3%
NCAA Baseball6–650.0%
La Liga6–650.0%
Ligue 17–370.0%
EPL4–544.4%
UEFA Champions League7–187.5%
Bundesliga3–260.0%
MLS1–233.3%

League rows sum to the headline record above: same picks, same filter.

Most recent graded picks

How the model works

Educated Bets prices every game and player prop with a statistical model — recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace, park and rest — then calibrates each probability to the league's real historical hit rate. Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded automatically against the final box score, so wins and losses both stay on the public record.

Public track record: across 6,166 graded picks the model's win rate is 62.4%. That figure counts every graded pick, wins and losses, with no survivorship filtering — including calls the model later revised.

Model analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice. 21+ (18+ where lawful). If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Predictions by league: NBA predictions · NFL predictions

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No card required. Every pick logged before tip-off and graded in public.