EDUCATED BETS

Public track record: 62.5% across 6,107 graded picks

3,814 wins, 2,293 losses. This is every pick the model has published and had graded — including picks it later revised. Nothing is deleted, and losses stay on the record.

Record by league

LeagueW–LWin %
MLB2,939–1,64464.1%
WNBA329–24057.8%
NHL293–18661.2%
NBA146–14450.3%
NCAAF28–2256.0%
NBA Summer League20–1655.6%
NFL13–1350.0%
FIFA World Cup10–471.4%
NCAA Baseball6–650.0%
La Liga5–645.5%
Ligue 17–370.0%
Serie A8–188.9%
EPL2–528.6%
UEFA Champions League4–0100.0%
Bundesliga3–175.0%
MLS1–233.3%

League rows sum to the headline record above: same picks, same filter.

Most recent graded picks

How the model works

Educated Bets prices every game and player prop with a statistical model — recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace, park and rest — then calibrates each probability to the league's real historical hit rate. Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded automatically against the final box score, so wins and losses both stay on the public record.

Public track record: across 6,107 graded picks the model's win rate is 62.5%. That figure counts every graded pick, wins and losses, with no survivorship filtering — including calls the model later revised.

Model analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice. 21+ (18+ where lawful). If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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No card required. Every pick logged before tip-off and graded in public.