EDUCATED BETS
Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears prediction — October 27, 2026
Game details
- Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears, College Football
- Kickoff: October 27, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (in about 5 days)
Market lines right now
- Moneyline: Sam Houston State Bearkats +180 · Missouri State Bears -220
- Spread: Missouri State Bears -6.5 (Sam Houston State Bearkats +6.5)
- Total: 51.5
Sportsbook consensus snapshot, not a model pick. Lines move; check your book before betting.
Recent results
Sam Houston State Bearkats: 1-4 in last 5
- L 24-30 vs New Mexico State Aggies Oct 21
- L 3-16 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Oct 14
- L 3-35 at Liberty Flames Oct 8
- L 14-49 at Texas Tech Red Raiders Sep 26
- W 59-0 vs Nicholls State Colonels Sep 19
Missouri State Bears: 1-4 in last 5
- L 38-61 at Delaware Blue Hens Oct 20
- W 24-21 vs Kennesaw State Owls Oct 14
- L 13-34 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Oct 8
- L 24-34 at SMU Mustangs Sep 26
- L 24-30 vs Marshall Thundering Herd Sep 19
When the model weighs in
Our model re-prices Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears as lineups, injuries and lines settle, and logs any call that clears its publishing bar before kickoff. It is graded automatically after the final, win or lose, on the public report card. See every College Football game on the College Football board.
What the model thinks
Our model currently rates Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears as about fairly priced — no side stands out yet. That can change as lines and lineups move.
Our model has priced Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears against the market for this College Football game. Any call that clears its publishing bar is logged before the game starts and graded in public after the final whistle.
Every pick we make is recorded before the game starts and scored automatically when it ends. Wins and losses both stay on the record — that's the whole point.
More: Sam Houston State Bearkats predictions · Missouri State Bears predictions · today's College Football board
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Frequently asked questions
When are the Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears predictions posted?
Our model prices this College Football game and logs its picks before kickoff on October 27, 2026. Picks stay locked pre-game and are graded in public after the final whistle.
Are Educated Bets picks free?
Yes. You can see the full model board free with an account — no card required. Every call is logged before tip-off and graded in public.
How does the model make its predictions?
It prices each game and player prop against the market using recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace and park, then calibrates to the real historical hit rate for that league.
How the model works
Educated Bets prices every game and player prop with a statistical model — recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace, park and rest — then calibrates each probability to the league's real historical hit rate. Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded automatically against the final box score, so wins and losses both stay on the public record.
Public track record: across 6,166 graded picks the model's win rate is 62.4%. That figure counts every graded pick, wins and losses, with no survivorship filtering — including calls the model later revised.
Model analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice. 21+ (18+ where lawful). If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Unlock the full model board — freeNo card required. Every pick logged before tip-off and graded in public.