EDUCATED BETS
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels — October 3, 2026
Final: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 37 — North Carolina Tar Heels 26
Our model priced Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels against the market, but no call on this game cleared its publishing bar, so there is nothing to grade here. Every call it does publish is logged before the game starts and graded in public.
More: Notre Dame Fighting Irish predictions · North Carolina Tar Heels predictions · today's College Football board
How the model works
Educated Bets prices every game and player prop with a statistical model — recency-weighted player form, matchup, pace, park and rest — then calibrates each probability to the league's real historical hit rate. Every pick is logged before the game starts and graded automatically against the final box score, so wins and losses both stay on the public record.
Public track record: across 6,107 graded picks the model's win rate is 62.5%. That figure counts every graded pick, wins and losses, with no survivorship filtering — including calls the model later revised.
Model analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial or betting advice. 21+ (18+ where lawful). If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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